MathematicsCore26 min read

The Normal Distribution

One curve, one table, and the trick of relabelling the axis

This topic appears in:

01

The shape that keeps appearing

Heights, exam marks, measurement errors, the diameters of manufactured parts — plot enough of them and the same bell-shaped curve keeps emerging. It is symmetric about the mean, most of the data sits near the middle, and the tails thin out quickly in both directions.

The curve is continuous, which changes what probability means. For a discrete variable a probability is a height on a bar chart; here it is an area under the curve. The total area is 1, matching the fact that some value must occur.

One consequence catches everybody: the probability of any single exact value is zero, because a single point has no width and therefore encloses no area. That is why P(X < a) and P(X ⩽ a) are the same for a normal distribution, though they differ for a discrete one.

X ~ N(μ, σ²)μ = the mean, the centre of symmetryσ² = the variance; σ = standard deviationtotal area under the curve = 1the bracket holds the variance σ², not the standard deviation
μ
the meanthe curve is symmetric about it
σ
the standard deviationcontrols the width — larger σ, flatter and wider
σ²
the variancewhat the notation N(μ, σ²) actually contains

N(μ, σ²) holds the variance

X ~ N(50, 16) means the variance is 16, so the standard deviation is 4, not 16. Using 16 as σ is one of the most frequent errors in the topic, and it corrupts every subsequent calculation. Take the square root before standardising.

02

Standardising: relabelling the axis

There are infinitely many normal distributions, one for every pair of μ and σ. Tabulating them all is impossible, so instead every question is converted to a single reference distribution: the standard normal, Z ~ N(0, 1).

The conversion asks a simple question: how many standard deviations is this value from the mean? That count is the z-score, and it is all the table needs. Subtracting the mean shifts the centre to zero; dividing by σ rescales the width to one.

The curve itself does not change shape when you standardise — only the numbers written along the axis do. That is why one table serves every normal distribution that has ever been used.

z = (x − μ) / σΦ(z) = P(Z < z) = area to the left of zP(Z > z) = 1 − Φ(z)P(a < Z < b) = Φ(b) − Φ(a)Φ(−z) = 1 − Φ(z)by symmetrytables give the area to the LEFT; everything else is built from that
z
the standardised valuehow many standard deviations from the mean
Φ(z)
the cumulative probabilityalways the area to the left
Φ(−z)
the left tailequals 1 − Φ(z) because the curve is symmetric

On P(Z < z), drag z and watch the shaded area — that area is the probability. Then look at Standardising: the curve is identical, only the axis labels differ, which is exactly why one table is enough.

03

Reading the table in every direction

Tables give Φ(z), the area to the left. Every other probability is assembled from that one fact, and a sketch makes the assembly obvious rather than something to memorise.

For negative z the table usually stops at zero, so symmetry is used: the area left of −z equals the area right of +z, which is 1 − Φ(z).

You wantUseWhy
P(Z < z)Φ(z)straight from the table
P(Z > z)1 − Φ(z)the total area is 1
P(Z < −z)1 − Φ(z)symmetry: the left tail matches the right
P(a < Z < b)Φ(b) − Φ(a)the strip between two cuts
P(|Z| < z)2Φ(z) − 1both tails removed at once
Worked example

The masses of apples are normally distributed with mean 150 g and standard deviation 20 g. Find the probability that an apple weighs (a) less than 165 g, (b) between 130 g and 165 g.

  1. (a) Standardise: z = (165 − 150)/20 = 0.75.165 g lies 0.75 standard deviations above the mean.
  2. P(X < 165) = Φ(0.75) = 0.7734.The table gives the area to the left directly.
  3. (b) Standardise the lower value: z = (130 − 150)/20 = −1.0.Below the mean, so the z-score is negative — as it should be.
  4. Φ(−1) = 1 − Φ(1) = 1 − 0.8413 = 0.1587.Symmetry converts a negative z into a table lookup.
  5. P(130 < X < 165) = 0.7734 − 0.1587 = 0.6147.The strip between the two cuts is the difference of the two left-areas. Sketching the region makes the subtraction obvious.

(a) 0.7734; (b) 0.6147

Always sketch it

A quick bell with the region shaded takes five seconds and prevents nearly every error in this topic. It shows immediately whether the answer should be bigger or smaller than a half, which catches a forgotten 1 − before it costs anything.

04

Working backwards from a probability

The reverse question gives a probability and asks for the value — the mark needed for the top 10%, the diameter exceeded by only 5% of parts. Here the table is used in reverse, or the inverse normal function on a calculator.

The procedure is the same one run backwards: find the z-score matching that area, then unstandardise with x = μ + zσ. The commonest slip is looking up the wrong tail, which a sketch prevents.

forwards:z = (x − μ)/σbackwards: x = μ + zσvalues worth knowing:top 5%z = 1.645top 2.5% z = 1.960top 1%z = 2.326a positive z lies above the mean, a negative z below it
x = μ + zσ
unstandardisingthe rearrangement of the z formula
1.645
the 95th percentileappears constantly in hypothesis testing too
1.960
the 97.5th percentilethe basis of a 95% confidence interval

The three shapes of question

  1. Given x, find a probability — standardise, then read the table.
  2. Given a probability, find x — read the table backwards, then x = μ + zσ.
  3. Given a probability and one parameter, find the other — standardise symbolically and solve the resulting equation.
  4. For two unknown parameters you need two pieces of information, giving simultaneous equations in μ and σ.
  5. Sketch the region first, every time.
05

Approximating a binomial with a normal

Computing a binomial probability for n = 200 by hand is impractical, and when n is large and p is not too extreme the distribution is close enough to a bell that the normal can stand in for it.

The usual conditions are np > 5 and n(1 − p) > 5. Both matter: they ensure the distribution is far enough from either end to be roughly symmetric rather than crushed against zero.

The parameters carry straight across — mean np, variance np(1 − p) — but one adjustment is required. A binomial is discrete and a normal is continuous, so a whole number has to be treated as the interval half a unit either side of it. That is the continuity correction, and omitting it is the standard lost mark.

B(n, p) ≈ N(np, np(1 − p))when np > 5 and n(1 − p) > 5continuity correction:P(X ⩾ 20) → P(Y > 19.5)P(X > 20) → P(Y > 20.5)P(X ⩽ 20) → P(Y < 20.5)P(X = 20) → P(19.5 < Y < 20.5)the half unit always widens the region you actually want
np
the meancarried straight over from the binomial
np(1 − p)
the variancenot np — the (1 − p) is easy to drop
± 0.5
the continuity correctiona whole number becomes an interval half a unit wide

Which way does the half go?

Sketch the bars. P(X ⩾ 20) includes the whole bar at 20, and that bar runs from 19.5 to 20.5 — so the continuous version starts at 19.5. P(X > 20) excludes that bar, so it starts at 20.5. The rule is not worth memorising as four cases; it is worth deriving each time from which bars are included.

Practice questions

5 questions · 18 marks · full working on every one

Try each one on paper first, then open the working. The marks are shown where they are actually awarded, because that is where they are actually lost.

Short questions

2 · 4 marks

Two marks each, in the style of the short-question section of the paper. Answer in two or three lines.

SQ1[2 marks]
Explain why P(X = 5) = 0 for a continuous random variable, and state what this means for P(X < 5) compared with P(X ⩽ 5).
Model answer

Probability for a continuous variable is the area under the curve, and a single point has no width, so it encloses zero area. Consequently P(X < 5) and P(X ⩽ 5) are equal, unlike for a discrete variable.

Examiner tip. One mark for the zero-width area argument, one for the equality of the two probabilities.

SQ2[2 marks]
X ~ N(40, 9). A student calculates z = (46 − 40)/9 = 0.667. Identify and correct the error.
Model answer

The bracket in N(40, 9) gives the variance, so σ = √9 = 3, not 9. The correct standardisation is z = (46 − 40)/3 = 2.

Examiner tip. One mark for identifying the variance-versus-standard-deviation confusion, one for the corrected z.

Solved numericals

2 · 7 marks

Full working, one step per line, with the marks shown where they are awarded.

N1[3 marks]
X ~ N(60, 25). Find P(X < 68).
Full working
  1. σ = √25 = 5The bracket gives the variance, so the square root must be taken first.[1]
  2. z = (68 − 60)/5 = 1.6Standardising the value of interest.[1]
  3. P(X < 68) = Φ(1.6) = 0.945Read directly from the table as the area to the left.[1]

0.945

N2[4 marks]
The lifetimes of bulbs are normally distributed with mean 800 hours and standard deviation 60 hours. Find the lifetime exceeded by 90% of bulbs.
Full working
  1. If 90% exceed it, the value has 10% below it, so Φ(z) = 0.10A sketch shows the point lies below the mean, so z will be negative.[1]
  2. From tables, z = −1.282Using symmetry: the 10th percentile is the negative of the 90th.[1]
  3. x = μ + zσ = 800 + (−1.282)(60)Unstandardising with the negative z.[1]
  4. x = 800 − 76.9 = 723 hoursBelow the mean, which matches the sketch.[1]

723 hours

Exam questions

1 · 7 marks

Multi-part questions with a full mark scheme.

Q1[7 marks]
The heights of a species of plant are normally distributed. 20% are shorter than 25 cm and 10% are taller than 40 cm.
(a) Write down two equations involving μ and σ.
(b) Solve them to find μ and σ.
(c) Find the proportion of plants between 30 cm and 35 cm.
Mark scheme
  1. (a) 20% below 25 means Φ(z) = 0.2, so z = −0.842: (25 − μ)/σ = −0.842Below the mean gives a negative z.[1]
  2. 10% above 40 means Φ(z) = 0.9, so z = 1.282: (40 − μ)/σ = 1.282Above the mean gives a positive z.[1]
  3. (b) From the first: 25 − μ = −0.842σ. From the second: 40 − μ = 1.282σTwo linear equations in μ and σ.[1]
  4. Subtracting: 15 = 2.124σ, so σ = 7.06Subtracting eliminates μ immediately.[1]
  5. μ = 25 + 0.842(7.06) = 30.9 cmSubstituting back into either equation.[1]
  6. (c) z₁ = (30 − 30.9)/7.06 = −0.128; z₂ = (35 − 30.9)/7.06 = 0.581Standardising both boundaries with the values just found.[1]
  7. Φ(0.581) − Φ(−0.128) = 0.7194 − 0.4491 = 0.270The strip between two cuts is the difference of the left-areas.[1]

(a) two z equations; (b) μ = 30.9 cm, σ = 7.06 cm; (c) 0.270